I realize that this post thread is a few months old but I have a comments on the future of FFI and SGI for that matter. I agree that PC's have come a long way (especially Avid DS) but they have limitations when it comes to HD. Many posts on this topic have said that if you don"t use HD now then you should get Shake or Combustion. I think that is incredibly short sighted for 2 major reasons. HD is the coming standard for television delivery and it is being used more and more everyday. It is also fast becoming the format of choice for creating masters for SD. If you are doing broadcast work in SD and looking to either upgrade your system or begin learning a toolset it would serve you well to learn on a FFI system if at all possible. The second reason is that if you are mainly working with film, a lot more films are being shot in 1080 because of the cost savings compared to film compared with the low (relatively) loss of color bandwidth. The only systems on the market today that really are comparable in terms or color bit depth, processing speed, toolset and the ability to capture and playback HD at full resolution is a Quantel system. The Avid DS HD has a great toolset and is 90% there but it is limited to 8-bit output and 1/4 HD caputre resolution to do realtime effects in HD.
I suspect that the price of FFI products will come down or at least offer a lot more favorable terms because the price of Quantel products have been lowered by $40,000 with the introduction of generation Q PC-based products. Smoke is already being offered at better prices.
As far as the constant talk that SGI is a dead, slow system, I think the growth of HD and 2K film use will keep the present Octance 2 and Onyx 3200 selling for at least the next 2 years. SGI is aslo coming out with a faster Octane and Onyx system in the middle of 2003 that will keep it ahead of the pack as far as HD, 2K and 4K format use goes.
The new Discreet products (Strata & Mezzo) codenamed Toxic, that were mentioned are really not products so to speak as much as new code and technology. It will be out in mid to late 2003 and it is very interesting because it does all the hardware excelerated effects in software on PC's SGI boxes and Linux boxes. The first product that will use the new technology will be Flame. That is the good news. The bad news is that the price will be pretty much the same, between $100,000 and $150,000.
All this is say that FFI products are not dead and far from obsolete. I agree that you can use Shake and Combustion 2 on many projects and come up with great results but there is nothing like building a composite or effect and seeing the results instantly. FFI products (and Quantel) are still the kings of that.
If you want to learn the FFI toolset buy a Dell and get combustion 2. The toolset is similar and the process of building composites and effects is similar. after adding memory you should be able to get a decent system for less than $10,000.
I suspect that Apple is going to come out with an exceptional product that is similar to the new Discreet technology (all sofware baseed RT HD capture and effects) based on the compositing talent that they have acquired over the last year. You can bet that it will be around the current price of shake. When that happens, their will be major fallout in the post industry and their will be few companies left. probably Discreet because of the new software technology.